Estimating the Causal Effect of Early ArXiving on Paper Acceptance

arXiv:2306.13891v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: What is the effect of releasing a preprint of a paper before it is submitted for peer review? No randomized controlled trial has been conducted, so we turn to observational data to answer this question. We use data from the ICLR conference (2018--2022) and apply methods from causal inference to estimate the effect of arXiving a paper before the reviewing period (early arXiving) on its acceptance to the conference. Adjusting for confounders such as topic, …

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