A Tale of Tails: Model Collapse as a Change of Scaling Laws

As AI model size grows, neural scaling laws have become a crucial tool to predict the improvements of large models when increasing capacity and the size of original (human or natural) training data. Yet, the widespread use of popular models means that the ecosystem of online data and text will co-evolve to progressively contain increased amounts of synthesized data. In this paper we ask: How will the scaling laws change in the inevitable regime where synthetic data makes its way …

ai model become capacity change cs.ai cs.lg data ecosystem human improvements large models laws model collapse natural popular scaling tool training training data