April 23, 2024, 4:30 a.m. | Ryan Burn

Towards Data Science - Medium towardsdatascience.com

How to calculate probability when “we absolutely know nothing antecedently to any trials made” (Bayes, 1763)

From left to right, Thomas Bayes, Pierre-Simon Laplace, and Harold Jeffreys — key figures in the development of inverse probability (or what is now called objective Bayesian analysis). [24]

Contents

  1. Introduction
  2. Priors and Frequentist Matching
    - example 1: a normal distribution with unknown mean
    - example 2: a normal distribution with unknown variance
  3. The Binomial Distribution Prior
  4. Applications from Bayes and Laplace …

bayesian-statistics deep-dives mathematics probability statistics

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