An Ordinal Latent Variable Model of Conflict Intensity. (arXiv:2210.03971v1 [cs.LG])

For the quantitative monitoring of international relations, political events
are extracted from the news and parsed into "who-did-what-to-whom" patterns.
This has resulted in large data collections which require aggregate statistics
for analysis. The Goldstein Scale is an expert-based measure that ranks
individual events on a one-dimensional scale from conflictual to cooperative.
However, the scale disregards fatality counts as well as perpetrator and victim
types involved in an event. This information is typically considered in
qualitative conflict assessment. To address this …

arxiv conflict latent variable model ordinal