Axiomatic effect propagation in structural causal models

We study effect propagation in a causal directed acyclic graph (DAG), with the goal of providing a flow-based decomposition of the effect (i.e., change in the outcome variable) as a result of changes in the source variables. We first compare various ideas on causality to quantify effect propagation, such as direct and indirect effects, path-specific effects, and degree of responsibility. We discuss the shortcomings of such approaches and propose a flow-based methodology, which we call recursive Shapley value (RSV). By …

causal causality change dag flow graph ideas propagation study variables