Evaluating Bayesian Model Visualisations. (arXiv:2201.03604v1 [cs.HC])

Probabilistic models inform an increasingly broad range of business and
policy decisions ultimately made by people. Recent algorithmic, computational,
and software framework development progress facilitate the proliferation of
Bayesian probabilistic models, which characterise unobserved parameters by
their joint distribution instead of point estimates. While they can empower
decision makers to explore complex queries and to perform what-if-style
conditioning in theory, suitable visualisations and interactive tools are
needed to maximise users' comprehension and rational decision making under
uncertainty. In this paper, …

arxiv bayesian