Explainable expected goal models for performance analysis in football analytics. (arXiv:2206.07212v1 [cs.LG])

Web: http://arxiv.org/abs/2206.07212

The expected goal provides a more representative measure of the team and
player performance which also suit the low-scoring nature of football instead
of score in modern football. The score of a match involves randomness and often
may not represent the performance of the teams and players, therefore it has
been popular to use the alternative statistics in recent years such as shots on
target, ball possessions, and drills. To measure the probability of a shot
being a goal by …

analysis analytics arxiv football lg models performance performance analysis