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Ice Core Dating using Probabilistic Programming. (arXiv:2210.16568v1 [stat.ML])
Nov. 1, 2022, 1:13 a.m. | Aditya Ravuri, Tom R. Andersson, Ieva Kazlauskaite, Will Tebbutt, Richard E. Turner, J. Scott Hosking, Neil D. Lawrence, Markus Kaiser
stat.ML updates on arXiv.org arxiv.org
Ice cores record crucial information about past climate. However, before ice
core data can have scientific value, the chronology must be inferred by
estimating the age as a function of depth. Under certain conditions, chemicals
locked in the ice display quasi-periodic cycles that delineate annual layers.
Manually counting these noisy seasonal patterns to infer the chronology can be
an imperfect and time-consuming process, and does not capture uncertainty in a
principled fashion. In addition, several ice cores may be collected …
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