IMF Report: AGI destroys all jobs within 5 to 20 years! Frontier of Automation expands beyond humans

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IMF AGI Preparation

https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/2023/12/Scenario-Planning-for-an-AGI-future-Anton-korinek

Anton Korinek
Fellow, Brookings Institute
Professor, UVA
Former, Johns Hopkins, IMF


Frontier of Automation - Task complexity of machines increases over time
Unbounded Distribution - Human task complexity can go up indefinitely, meaning that some people will always be ahead of AGI and ASI
Bounded Distribution - Humans have a maximum task complexity (Theory of General Relativity)


Outlines 3 Scenarios
1. Business …

agi asi automation complexity distribution general human humans institute machines meaning people professor relativity theory will