May 14, 2024, 4:43 a.m. | Matteo Zecchin, Osvaldo Simeone

cs.LG updates on

arXiv:2405.07976v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Adaptive Risk Control (ARC) is an online calibration strategy based on set prediction that offers worst-case deterministic long-term risk control, as well as statistical marginal coverage guarantees. ARC adjusts the size of the prediction set by varying a single scalar threshold based on feedback from past decisions. In this work, we introduce Localized Adaptive Risk Control (L-ARC), an online calibration scheme that targets statistical localized risk guarantees ranging from conditional risk to marginal risk, while …

abstract arc arxiv calibration case control coverage cs.lg decisions feedback long-term prediction risk set set prediction statistical strategy threshold type work

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