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The interaction of transmission intensity, mortality, and the economy: a retrospective analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic. (arXiv:2211.00054v1 [stat.AP])
cs.LG updates on arXiv.org arxiv.org
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused over 6.4 million registered deaths to date,
and has had a profound impact on economic activity. Here, we study the
interaction of transmission, mortality, and the economy during the SARS-CoV-2
pandemic from January 2020 to December 2022 across 25 European countries. We
adopt a Bayesian vector autoregressive model with both fixed and random
effects. We find that increases in disease transmission intensity decreases
Gross domestic product (GDP) and increases daily excess deaths, with a longer …
analysis arxiv covid covid-19 covid-19 pandemic economy mortality pandemic retrospective