Why do "AI influencers" keep saying that AGI will arrive in the next couple of years?

Note: I know these influencers probably have way more knowledge than me about this, so I am assuming that I must be missing something.


Why do "AI influencers" like David Shapiro say that AGI will come in the next couple of years, or at least by 2030? It doesn't really make sense to me, and this is because I thought there were significant mathematical problems standing in the way of AGI development.

Like the fact that neural networks are a …

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