Predicting Swarm Equatorial Plasma Bubbles Via Supervised Machine Learning. (arXiv:2209.13482v1 [physics.space-ph])

Equatorial Plasma Bubbles (EPBs) are plumes of low density plasma that rise
up from the bottomside of the F layer towards the exosphere. EPBs are known
causes of radio wave scintillations which can degrade communications with
spacecraft. We build a random forest regressor to predict and forecast the
probability of an EPB [0-1] detected by the IBI processor on-board the SWARM
spacecraft. We use 8-years of Swarm data from 2014 to 2021 and transform the
data from a time series …

arxiv machine machine learning physics space supervised machine learning